Language:English
Illinois Fighting Illini v Purdue Boilermakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
Prediction 75.62%1.32fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -8.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.55%75.58%76.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.2981.97%79.27%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)
Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.279%
Kelly +0.367%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%24.45%24.42%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.853.904.1528.57%25.95%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 75.62%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 24.38%. For Purdue Boilermakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.23%E -5.02%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.16%E +0.279%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -1.28%E -0.316%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.28%E -0.316%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 19:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.50%E -0.625%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -6.98%E -5.68%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.61%EV -2.99%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.23%E -0.814%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.72%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.72%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 16:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.47%E -4.38%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.72%E -0.941%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -4.21%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.23%E -5.02%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.23%E -5.02%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.23%E -5.02%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.96%E -3.12%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 18:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.38%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.38%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.47%E -4.38%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.69%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 20:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.47%E -4.38%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.69%E -4.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 79.32% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 20.68% | -0.7% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |