The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 19:01 UTC

Final: Illinois Fighting Illini 21–10 Oregon Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 22.65%4.41fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%22.69%22.65%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.154.5026.32%24.12%24.10%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 77.35%1.29fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -6.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.44%77.31%77.35%78.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.221.2785.47%81.63%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 22.65%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 77.35%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.95%E +0.432%K +0.556%G +0.011%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.41%E -5.30%K -30.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 18:48
Pinnacle🎯4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV +1.49%E +0.333%K +0.429%G +0.006%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-24 19:00
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.320%E -0.073%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 18:48
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -1.91%E -0.440%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 18:48
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.91%E -0.440%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:34
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.59%E -0.601%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 18:54
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.59%E -0.601%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 18:00
Everygame🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.59%E -0.601%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 18:14
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.59%E -0.601%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 18:20
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.59%E -0.601%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 18:54
GTbets🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:55
Caesars🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.72%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:49
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.72%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 18:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.72%E -0.875%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -3.94%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -3.94%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 18:00
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 18:10
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 18:48
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 18:55
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 18:55
Fliff🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.98%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 18:48
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -5.98%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.98%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 18:48
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:20
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:55
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:48
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.12%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -8.73%E -7.40%K -48.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 18:55
NordicBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 22.98%EV -7.34%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.02%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -8.25%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 18:55
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:48
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:48
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.09%E -3.30%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:24
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 18:55
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 18:55
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.51%E -8.12%K -55.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 18:20
picklebet_au🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.32%E -2.65%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 18:55
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -11.65%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -1.77%E -1.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 22:20
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.91%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 18:53
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.91%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-10-24 18:50
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-10-24 18:59
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-10-24 19:00
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-10-24 18:48
Polymarket◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-10-24 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-10-24 18:48
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-10-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-10-24 18:55
BetOpenly◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-10-24 18:50