Language:English
Houston Cougars v UCF Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Cougars (Local)
Prediction 76.47%1.31fair odd
EV -0.583%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%76.22%76.38%78.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.241.3081.97%80.19%80.65%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UCF Knights (Visit)
Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%23.78%23.62%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.004.004.4029.41%24.98%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 76.47%; UCF Knights (Visit): 23.53%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +3.51%E +0.798%K +1.03%G +0.036% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +1.16%E +0.270%K +0.352%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.016%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -0.487%E -0.115%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 14:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -2.37%E -0.571%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.70%E -5.49%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.54%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -4.02%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -4.49%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -4.49%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -4.72%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.81%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV -5.19%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:52 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 20:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.70%E -5.49%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.70%E -5.49%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.88%E -2.27%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.64%E -2.89%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.17%E -4.17%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.11%E -1.65%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.70%E -5.49%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 15:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.70%E -5.49%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 15:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.583%E -0.449%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -20.01%E -5.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.62% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.38% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.57% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.43% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |