Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Oregon State Beavers

2026-09-05 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 89.61%1.12fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -40.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.68%89.59%89.76%91.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.0897.09%93.79%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon State Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 10.39%9.63fair odd
EV +20.47%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.395%

assuming max odds 11.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.23%10.41%10.24%13.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.908.888.6311.6014.49%11.27%11.59%8.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Cougars (Local): 89.61%; Oregon State Beavers (Visit): 10.39%. For Oregon State Beavers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.63. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.60, producing a positive expected value of +20.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -6.80%E -6.54%K -170.02%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV +20.47%E +1.76%K +1.93%G +0.395%4.8%2026-08-07 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.89%E +0.484%K +0.538%G +0.026%4.2%2026-08-16 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.89%E +0.484%K +0.538%G +0.026%4.2%2026-08-16 11:49
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.38%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.62%EV +4.37%E +0.435%K +0.483%G +0.021%3.4%2026-08-16 11:49
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.85%E +0.385%K +0.428%G +0.016%4.3%2026-08-09 13:44
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.85%E +0.385%K +0.428%G +0.016%4.3%2026-08-09 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.85%E +0.385%K +0.428%G +0.016%4.3%2026-07-25 17:05
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.85%E +0.385%K +0.428%G +0.016%4.3%2026-08-12 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.70%E -7.47%K -256.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.85%E +0.385%K +0.428%G +0.016%7.1%2026-08-12 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.34%E -0.141%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.09%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -3.94%E -0.426%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV -4.46%E -0.484%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.53%E -0.726%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.53%E -0.726%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:25
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.53%E -0.726%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.53%E -0.726%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -9.13%E -1.04%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 21:10
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 21:15
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 20:44
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -11.73%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.56%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.36I 11.96%NM 11.44%EV -13.18%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -14.84%E -1.81%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.92%E -2.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.92%E -2.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:09
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.92%E -2.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.92%E -2.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -118.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.92%E -2.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 15:00
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -18.99%E -2.44%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 10:24
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.11%E -2.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.22%E -2.98%K -40.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.11%E -2.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:10
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -5.01%E -4.72%K -83.47%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -28.34%E -4.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 90.07%9.52I 10.50%NM 9.93%5.7%2026-08-15 03:14

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