Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Oregon State Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC

Final: Houston Cougars 33–20 Oregon State Beavers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 90.37%1.11fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -30.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.11%90.38%90.42%91.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.061.0898.04%94.98%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon State Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 9.63%10.38fair odd
EV +10.80%
Edge +0.939%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.111%

assuming max odds 11.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.29%9.62%9.58%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.9510.0011.5012.50%10.05%10.00%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 90.37%; Oregon State Beavers (Visit): 9.63%. For Oregon State Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.38. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +10.80%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.111%3.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +10.80%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.111%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +10.80%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.111%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +10.80%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.111%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +10.80%E +0.939%K +1.03%G +0.111%4.8%2026-08-31 20:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.69%EV -7.83%E -7.67%K -391.36%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.31%EV +8.39%E +0.746%K +0.818%G +0.069%6.9%2026-09-04 14:30
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%3.4%2026-09-03 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%6.2%2026-08-31 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.92%E -6.72%K -230.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +5.98%E +0.544%K +0.598%G +0.036%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +4.05%E +0.375%K +0.414%G +0.017%4.5%2026-09-03 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +1.16%E +0.111%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-02 15:34
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.75%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.25%EV -0.764%E -0.074%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -2.69%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -2.69%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -2.69%E -0.266%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:09
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 08:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 17:09
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 13:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 13:39
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.02%E -5.79%K -150.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -3.65%E -0.365%K -0.406%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:50
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -8.47%E -0.892%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -9.44%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 16:43
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -9.44%E -1.00%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 16:38
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.64%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.27%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.36%EV -10.78%E -1.16%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.88%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 05:05
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.29%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:05
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.21%E -3.97%K -70.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.29%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:59
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.29%E -1.48%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 05:35
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.31%E -3.09%K -47.27%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -15.70%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.11%E -2.13%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 13:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.41%E -2.23%K -30.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -22.92%E -2.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 06:45
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.92%E -2.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.12%E -4.87%K -102.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.92%E -2.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 01:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-09-04 04:30
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.41%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%1.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51%2.2%2026-09-04 14:35