Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars v Cincinnati Bearcats

2026-11-07 17:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

78%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 77.80%1.29fair odd

EV -4.31%

Edge -3.50%

Kelly -18.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.82%77.76%77.80%78.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.211.211.2385.47%82.87%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 22.20%4.50fair odd

EV -4.53%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -1.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.79%22.24%22.20%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.704.164.224.3027.03%24.02%23.67%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Cougars (Local): 77.80%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 22.20%. For Houston Cougars (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.23, with an expected value of -4.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.31%E -3.50%K -18.73%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-01 07:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.31%E -3.50%K -18.73%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.64%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-01 07:50
Coolbet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.12%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-01 07:54
Bet Right🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.12%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.53%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-01 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.09%E -4.17%K -23.12%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.86%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.86%E -4.85%K -27.92%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.64%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-01 07:50
ReBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.86%E -4.85%K -27.92%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.97%E -2.19%K -2.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 07:55
SportsBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.64%E -5.54%K -33.21%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.64%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-01 07:50
betfred_uk🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.64%E -5.54%K -33.21%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-01 07:54
LeoVegas🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.42%E -6.24%K -39.05%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -12.30%E -3.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-11-01 07:54
picklebet_au🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 75.82%EV -8.20%E -6.95%K -45.54%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -17.85%E -4.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-11-01 07:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -8.98%E -7.67%K -52.80%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -6.75%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-11-01 07:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%	2.0%	2026-11-01 13:10
Polymarket◎	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%	9.7%	2026-11-01 12:10
ProphetX◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 75.61%	3.10I 32.26%NM 24.39%	32.3%	2026-11-01 10:35
Novig◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-11-01 11:45