Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 1.82
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local): 46.12%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 53.88%. For Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.29%E -0.604%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.22%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.18%E -2.94%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 01:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.14%E -1.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.95%E -5.30%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.95%E -1.07%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.06%E -1.95%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.52%E -2.18%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.18%E -2.94%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.33%E -4.26%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.44%E -2.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.87%E -4.60%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 01:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.91%E -2.89%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.83%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.10%E -2.30%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.83%EV -7.29%E -3.63%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.64%E -2.62%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.02%E -1.68%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.75%E -3.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 01:53 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |