Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors v San Jose State Spartans

2026-10-04 03:59 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local)

Prediction 61.17%1.63fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.14%61.17%61.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.5966.67%64.55%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 38.83%2.58fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%38.86%38.83%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.422.422.4542.55%41.37%41.32%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local): 61.17%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 38.83%. For Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.59, with an expected value of -2.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.73%E -1.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.76%E -3.73%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.35%E -2.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.04%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.96%E -2.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 12:59
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.04%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.98%E -3.37%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 12:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.02%E -4.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.88%E -1.99%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 08:10
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -7.02%E -4.62%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -5.65%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 08:09
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.82%E -2.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%7.0%2026-09-27 09:00