Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors v San Jose State Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC

Final: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 16–20 San Jose State Spartans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local)

Prediction 55.53%1.80fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%55.33%55.67%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.701.701.7860.24%58.65%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose State Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.67%44.33%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.142.152.2049.26%46.68%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local): 55.53%; San Jose State Spartans (Visit): 44.47%. For Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.71%EV -1.16%E -0.650%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.29%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-04 03:58
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.967%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 04:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.967%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-04 03:58
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.82%E -1.61%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.73%E -4.79%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 03:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 03:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 04:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 03:59
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.93%E -2.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 03:59
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 03:35
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:40
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 03:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 03:40
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 03:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 03:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 03:30
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 03:40
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.95%E -1.83%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -2.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 04:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 03:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 03:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 03:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 03:48
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 04:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-04 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 03:36
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 04:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.15%E -3.64%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 04:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.17%E -0.985%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -5.28%E -2.48%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 03:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.71%E -3.99%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 03:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 03:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 03:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 03:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.26%E -4.35%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.84%E -4.31%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -7.82%E -4.71%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 03:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-10-04 04:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-10-04 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-10-04 03:35
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-10-04 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-10-04 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-10-04 04:00
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%2.2%2026-10-04 04:00
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%4.7%2026-10-04 03:40