Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local): 73.79%; New Mexico State Aggies (Visit): 26.21%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.402%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.12%E -0.837%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -16.13%E -5.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.69%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -3.81%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.71%E -0.457%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-13 03:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 03:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 03:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 03:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 03:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.402%E -0.106%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.402%E -0.106%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.402%E -0.106%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.71%E -0.457%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 03:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 03:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 03:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.402%E -0.106%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -7.22%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.28%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 03:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 03:55 |