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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local)
Prediction 16.23%6.16fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +0.846%
Kelly +0.999%
Growth +0.055%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.70%16.38%16.27%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.845.856.5020.83%17.12%17.09%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
Prediction 83.77%1.19fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -11.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%83.62%83.73%85.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.27%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local): 16.23%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 83.77%. For Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.50%E +0.846%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.02%E -6.32%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.02%E -6.32%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.02%E -6.32%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.02%E -6.32%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.02%E -6.32%K -63.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +2.90%E +0.457%K +0.543%G +0.016% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV +2.90%E +0.457%K +0.543%G +0.016% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +0.627%E +0.101%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%EV -1.99%E -1.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-18 02:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 01:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 00:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.27%EV -3.92%E -0.662%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.73%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 02:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -4.24%E -0.719%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-18 01:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.87%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-16 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 00:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.52%EV -7.33%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.48%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.72%EV -7.81%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.28%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.11%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.11%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -1.99%E -1.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 23:54 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 02:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -10.73%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.85%E -7.14%K -78.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-16 09:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -12.36%E -2.29%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.34%E -4.73%K -41.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.79%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.79%E -2.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.66%E -3.19%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -18.85%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -2.83%E -2.44%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 01:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.85%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -18.85%E -3.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.18%E -5.52%K -51.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -22.10%E -4.60%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -4.50%E -3.95%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 02:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.47% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.53% | 0.2% | 2026-10-18 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-10-18 02:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.48% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.52% | 1.7% | 2026-10-18 02:15 |