Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Mercer Bears

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:02 UTC

Final: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 44–11 Mercer Bears

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 95.19%1.05fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -3.82%
Kelly -385.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%95.19%95.19%98.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.83%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercer Bears (Visit)

Prediction 4.81%20.80fair odd
EV +169.23%
Edge +3.02%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +5.21%

assuming max odds 56.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.75%4.81%4.81%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0037.2142.5056.008.33%2.69%2.35%1.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 95.19%; Mercer Bears (Visit): 4.81%. For Mercer Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 56.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +169.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +169.23%E +3.02%K +3.08%G +5.21%1.8%2026-09-19 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +169.23%E +3.02%K +3.08%G +5.21%1.8%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +145.19%E +2.85%K +2.90%G +4.22%2.0%2026-09-15 19:00
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +63.46%E +1.87%K +1.92%G +1.22%2.9%2026-09-15 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.86%E -3.82%K -385.58%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.49%E -2.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -42.31%E -3.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 19:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.07%106.00I 0.94%NM 0.93%0.9%2026-09-19 15:48
Kalshi◎1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.0%2026-09-14 12:10