Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers v Old Dominion Monarchs

2026-10-03 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers (Local)

Prediction 46.41%2.15fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.17%46.46%46.41%47.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.032.042.0550.51%49.26%49.02%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit)

Prediction 53.59%1.87fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.94%53.54%53.59%53.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.761.771.8058.14%56.73%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Georgia State Panthers (Local): 46.41%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 53.59%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -3.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-27 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 12:35
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 12:35
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%5.9%2026-09-27 12:45