Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers v Old Dominion Monarchs

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 19:30 UTC

Final: Georgia State Panthers 42–10 Old Dominion Monarchs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers (Local)

Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%52.85%52.88%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.82%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit)

Prediction 47.20%2.12fair odd
EV -0.878%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%47.15%47.12%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.55%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia State Panthers (Local): 52.80%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 47.20%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.878%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.32%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.01%E -3.56%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 19:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 19:15
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.38%E -1.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 19:15
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.878%E -0.418%K -0.798%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-03 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:15
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -4.43%E -2.45%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 19:10
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 19:15
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 19:15
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.71%E -1.82%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:25
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:25
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 19:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.49%E -3.07%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.77%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.65%E -2.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.02%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 19:24
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.878%E -0.418%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 19:24
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.60%E -2.80%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -7.07%E -4.02%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.54%E -3.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 19:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.96%E -4.08%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 19:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -0.878%E -0.418%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 21:23
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:25
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.24%E -6.02%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.24%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-03 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-10-03 19:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-10-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-03 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-03 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-03 19:20
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-03 19:20
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-10-03 19:20
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-10-03 19:25