Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers v Northern Illinois Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 18:02 UTC

Final: Georgia State Panthers 35–14 Northern Illinois Huskies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia State Panthers (Local)

Prediction 73.92%1.35fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -10.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%73.94%73.89%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3181.30%78.28%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +6.92%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%26.06%26.11%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.723.654.1031.25%26.90%27.40%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia State Panthers (Local): 73.92%; Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit): 26.08%. For Northern Illinois Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:30
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -8.34%E -6.72%K -34.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.0%2026-09-26 17:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.08%E -7.38%K -39.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.7%2026-09-26 17:30
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -9.08%E -7.38%K -39.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +6.92%E +1.69%K +2.23%G +0.154%5.7%2026-09-26 17:31
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +2.23%E +0.568%K +0.762%G +0.017%4.3%2026-09-26 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.34%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV +1.96%E +0.502%K +0.675%G +0.013%3.7%2026-09-26 17:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.400%E +0.104%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.7%2026-09-26 17:18
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.21%E -0.589%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 17:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.21%E -0.589%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 17:19
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.21%E -0.589%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.51%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 17:55
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 17:50
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -5.34%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -5.34%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -5.86%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.12%E -4.82%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-26 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.84%EV -4.64%E -3.60%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.16%EV -9.77%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-26 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 17:30
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.38%E -4.20%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -3.16%E -2.41%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.90%E -3.00%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -16.55%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 17:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-26 18:00
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 17:25
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-26 17:59