Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Southern Eagles v Marshall Thundering Herd

2026-11-07 20:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Southern Eagles (Local)

Prediction 75.01%1.33fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -8.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.74%75.06%74.80%77.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.3085.47%80.09%79.68%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit)

Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.794%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%24.94%25.20%26.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.804.1028.57%26.12%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Georgia Southern Eagles (Local): 75.01%; Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit): 24.99%. For Marshall Thundering Herd (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.10, producing a positive expected value of +2.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.46%E +0.600%K +0.794%G +0.020%4.4%2026-11-01 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +1.21%E +0.299%K +0.397%G +0.005%6.7%2026-11-01 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.99%E -5.64%K -29.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.24%E -10.46%K -71.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 18:43
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.74%E -6.29%K -33.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -2.54%E -0.650%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 19:20
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.99%E -3.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:14
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.04%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.99%E -3.12%K -14.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.49%E -4.36%K -21.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:20
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.49%E -1.91%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 19:12
picklebet_au🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -9.99%E -8.32%K -49.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-11-01 19:20
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-11-01 19:00
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%6.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Polymarket◎1.27I 78.74%NM 73.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%6.8%2026-11-01 18:45