The School of Odds

Georgia Bulldogs v Auburn Tigers

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 86.27%1.16fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -4.64%
Kelly -51.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.95%86.27%86.27%87.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.091.101.101.1091.74%91.19%90.91%90.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 13.73%7.28fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%13.73%13.73%16.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.706.536.407.5017.54%15.31%15.63%13.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.10%E -4.64%K -51.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.97%E +0.395%K +0.456%G +0.014%4.2%2026-07-26 15:34
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.10%E -4.64%K -51.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -12.14%E -1.90%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 15:35
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -5.96%E -5.47%K -66.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -21.75%E -3.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.