The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Fresno State Bulldogs v Sacramento State Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 02:38 UTC

Final: Fresno State Bulldogs 49–3 Sacramento State Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno State Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 87.91%1.14fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -22.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%87.81%87.96%89.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1195.24%92.33%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 12.09%8.27fair odd
EV +11.24%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 9.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.24%12.19%12.04%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.727.979.2015.38%12.96%12.55%10.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno State Bulldogs (Local): 87.91%; Sacramento State Hornets (Visit): 12.09%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.76%EV -7.70%E -7.33%K -153.91%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.24%EV +11.24%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.154%6.1%2026-09-13 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.77%E +0.326%K +0.370%G +0.010%5.2%2026-09-13 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +1.56%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-13 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -0.854%E -0.104%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -2.18%E -0.270%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -2.18%E -0.270%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -33.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 01:55
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 02:30
BetUS🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:30
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.27%E -0.409%K -0.467%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.83%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -33.00%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 12.17%EV -4.00%E -0.503%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -5.69%E -0.730%K -0.837%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 01:55
Everygame🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -6.29%E -0.812%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:18
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -6.29%E -0.812%K -0.933%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 17:40
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.40%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.60%EV -6.90%E -0.896%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-13 01:50
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.59%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.41%EV -8.71%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 02:30
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.30%E -3.00%K -33.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 20:45
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 01:49
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.32%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -2.42%E -2.18%K -22.01%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -12.34%E -1.70%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -12.34%E -1.70%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 01:55
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -12.34%E -1.70%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.06%E -4.68%K -63.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -15.36%E -2.19%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 02:30
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.36%E -2.19%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 01:59
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -17.42%E -2.55%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:25
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.24%EV -4.18%E -3.83%K -46.44%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 13.76%EV -17.42%E -2.55%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 02:25
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -21.41%E -3.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 02:28
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.94%E -5.55%K -84.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -21.41%E -3.29%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 02:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.82%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.18%0.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-09-13 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-09-13 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-09-13 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-09-13 02:05