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Fresno State Bulldogs v Rice Owls
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fresno State Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 80.69%1.24fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -7.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%80.53%80.59%82.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.80%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rice Owls (Visit)
Prediction 19.31%5.18fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%19.47%19.41%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.954.935.4024.39%20.22%20.28%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno State Bulldogs (Local): 80.69%; Rice Owls (Visit): 19.31%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +4.30%E +0.796%K +0.977%G +0.042% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.21%E -6.27%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 01:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.21%E -6.27%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +2.37%E +0.446%K +0.550%G +0.013% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.60%E -4.78%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.40%E +0.267%K +0.329%G +0.005% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.40%E +0.267%K +0.329%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.21%E -6.27%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.40%E +0.267%K +0.329%G +0.005% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -8.02%E -7.03%K -57.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.434%E +0.084%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.50%E -0.294%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.43%E -0.686%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 10:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.43%E -0.686%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.43%E -0.686%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 21:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.60%E -4.78%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.43%E -0.686%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -4.78%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -4.78%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 21:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.36%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.36%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV -6.13%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -6.33%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -7.10%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -7.29%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -7.29%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 01:37 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.26%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.26%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.98%E -3.35%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.26%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.22%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.60%E -4.78%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.15%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.60%E -4.78%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.15%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.56%E -1.28%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -13.09%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 01:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.09%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.18%E -2.65%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.02%E -3.41%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 20:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -1.56%E -1.28%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -16.95%E -3.94%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -1.56%E -1.28%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -20.81%E -5.08%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.60% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.40% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 01:55 |