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Fresno State Bulldogs v Boise State Broncos
Head to Head
Fresno State Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.36%26.53%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.623.703.7529.85%27.59%27.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boise State Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 73.61%1.36fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -14.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.35%73.64%73.47%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.281.281.3078.74%78.02%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fresno State Bulldogs (Local): 26.39%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 73.61%. For Fresno State Bulldogs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.51%E -5.13%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.37%E -0.640%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.51%E -5.13%K -24.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.30%E -3.31%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.04%E -3.91%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -8.70%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -5.78%E -4.51%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.74% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.26% | 11.6% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |