Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno State Bulldogs v Boise State Broncos

2026-10-11 02:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno State Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 33.21%3.01fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%32.97%33.18%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.893.1537.04%34.62%34.60%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boise State Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 66.79%1.50fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%67.03%66.82%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.411.401.4672.46%70.67%71.17%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fresno State Bulldogs (Local): 33.21%; Boise State Broncos (Visit): 66.79%. For Fresno State Bulldogs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.15, producing a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +4.60%E +1.46%K +2.14%G +0.098%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:44
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 14:45
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.385%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 14:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.71%E -0.925%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:15
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:05
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 15:05
Caesars🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 07:50
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -4.04%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 15:04
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 15:09
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.37%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.14%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:09
ReBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.70%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.15%E -5.15%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -6.03%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.15%E -5.15%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -6.36%E -2.26%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 15:08
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.48%E -1.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.82%E -5.67%K -20.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-05 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 15:10
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 15:10
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 13:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 15:04
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.49%E -4.63%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%0.1%2026-10-05 14:10
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%1.6%2026-10-05 15:10
ProphetX◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%3.7%2026-10-05 14:25
Polymarket◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%3.9%2026-10-05 15:05