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Florida State Seminoles v Virginia Cavaliers

2026-10-03 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida State Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 44.15%2.27fair odd
EV -0.668%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%43.96%44.30%45.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.21%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.30%56.04%55.70%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7561.73%59.52%59.70%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Florida State Seminoles (Local): 44.15%; Virginia Cavaliers (Visit): 55.85%. For Florida State Seminoles (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -0.668%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.28%E -4.39%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.28%E -4.39%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.28%E -4.39%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.28%E -4.39%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:45
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.668%E -0.297%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.11%E -0.495%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.67%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -1.11%E -0.495%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -9.52%E -5.88%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.55%E -0.696%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.40%E -5.12%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -1.55%E -0.696%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -8.40%E -5.12%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.61%E -3.32%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 12:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.08%E -2.36%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 12:43
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.97%E -2.80%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.41%E -3.02%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.26%E -1.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -6.85%E -3.25%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -5.61%E -3.32%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-27 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.17%E -3.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:45
ReBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.06%E -4.40%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 12:45
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.49%E -2.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-27 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:44
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.50%E -4.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 12:44
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -10.82%E -5.36%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%7.6%2026-09-27 13:00