The School of Odds

Florida State Seminoles v SMU Mustangs

2026-09-07 23:30 — NCAAF

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Option 1: Florida State Seminoles (Local)

2.0050.00%Min
2.1047.68%Mean
2.0947.85%Median
2.2045.45%Max
43.59%2.294Min
47.78%2.093Max
45.23%2.211Mean
45.04%2.220Median
45.05%2.220IQM
45.20%2.212Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 45.05%

EV -0.893%Edge -0.406%Kelly -0.744%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: SMU Mustangs (Visit)

1.6859.52%Min
1.7357.69%Mean
1.7457.47%Median
1.8354.64%Max
52.22%1.915Min
56.41%1.773Max
54.77%1.826Mean
54.96%1.820Median
54.95%1.820IQM
54.80%1.825Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 54.95%

EV +0.561%Edge +0.306%Kelly +0.676%Growth +0.004%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFlorida State Seminoles (Local)SMU Mustangs (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -9.90% E -4.95% K -9.90% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV +0.561% E +0.306% K +0.676% G +0.004%4.6%2026-07-02 01:40
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.40% E -2.57% K -4.91% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -2.74% E -1.55% K -3.55% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-02 01:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.50% E -2.12% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.50% E -2.12% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:45
betPARX2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.50% E -2.12% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:44
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.50% E -2.12% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:45
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31% NM 45.67%EV -6.75% E -3.26% K -6.31% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.33%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54% NM 45.79%EV -7.20% E -3.49% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.21%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
BetRivers2.06I 48.54% NM 45.79%EV -7.20% E -3.49% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.21%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54% NM 45.79%EV -7.20% E -3.49% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.21%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -7.65% E -3.73% K -7.29% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 13:45
Unibet2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -7.65% E -3.73% K -7.29% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -4.38% E -2.52% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 13:44
Coolbet2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.50% E -2.12% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.93% E -2.85% K -6.76% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-02 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08% NM 45.41%EV -6.30% E -3.03% K -5.83% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.59%EV -4.93% E -2.85% K -6.76% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-02 01:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -0.893% E -0.406% K -0.744% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 16:29
GTbets2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -0.893% E -0.406% K -0.744% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 16:20
Caesars2.17I 46.08% NM 44.07%EV -2.24% E -1.03% K -1.92% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.93%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:29
Betsson2.09I 47.85% NM 45.00%EV -5.85% E -2.80% K -5.37% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.00%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 06:29
NordicBet2.09I 47.85% NM 45.00%EV -5.85% E -2.80% K -5.37% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.00%EV -6.03% E -3.53% K -8.50% G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 06:29
DraftKings2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -0.893% E -0.406% K -0.744% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.40% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 11:14
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -9.90% E -4.95% K -9.90% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -6.58% E -3.87% K -9.40% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.04%EV -7.65% E -3.73% K -7.29% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 54.96%EV -7.68% E -4.57% K -11.30% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-02 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth