The School of Odds

Florida State Seminoles v SMU Mustangs

2026-09-07 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Florida State Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 47.07%2.12fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%46.78%47.08%48.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.042.1751.81%49.03%49.14%46.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

SMU Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%53.22%52.92%55.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.751.8558.48%56.41%57.14%54.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +2.14%E +0.988%K +1.83%G +0.039%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 16:29
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:45
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:44
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -0.209%E -0.099%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.03%E -1.47%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.03%E -1.47%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -3.03%E -1.47%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 13:45
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 13:45
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 13:44
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.92%E -2.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 14:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:30
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 21:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:35
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 07:04
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 21:10
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.86%E -2.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 22:45
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.33%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 21:15
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.08%E -1.13%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 14:35
PointsBet (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 22:45
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.15%E -4.74%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 07:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.