Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida State Seminoles v New Mexico State Aggies

2026-08-29 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida State Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 95.17%1.05fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -387.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.23%95.05%94.95%97.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.29%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 4.83%20.71fair odd
EV +97.96%
Edge +2.39%
Kelly +2.45%
Growth +2.40%

assuming max odds 41.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.38%4.95%5.05%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5020.1919.0041.009.52%4.95%5.26%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Florida State Seminoles (Local): 95.17%; New Mexico State Aggies (Visit): 4.83%. For New Mexico State Aggies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.71. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 41.00, producing a positive expected value of +97.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +97.96%E +2.39%K +2.45%G +2.40%2.4%2026-08-12 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +49.68%E +1.60%K +1.66%G +0.823%2.2%2026-08-10 15:05
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +49.68%E +1.60%K +1.66%G +0.823%3.2%2026-08-10 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +25.54%E +0.982%K +1.02%G +0.261%2.9%2026-08-10 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +25.54%E +0.982%K +1.02%G +0.261%2.9%2026-08-14 20:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +13.47%E +0.573%K +0.598%G +0.081%3.3%2026-08-11 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +11.05%E +0.481%K +0.502%G +0.056%3.4%2026-08-11 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +11.05%E +0.481%K +0.502%G +0.056%3.4%2026-08-02 22:19
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.26%E -0.435%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 16:24
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.26%E -0.435%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.26%E -0.435%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:20
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.26%E -0.435%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.23%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -20.33%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.85%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 6.15%EV -26.37%E -1.73%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 16:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -27.57%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.20%E -2.19%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -32.40%E -2.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -32.40%E -2.31%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -42.06%E -3.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 21:40
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.83%E -4.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -42.06%E -3.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -3.88%E -3.84%K -387.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -49.30%E -4.70%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.15%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.85%4.0%2026-08-14 19:29

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