The School of Odds

Florida State Seminoles v New Mexico State Aggies

2026-08-29 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Florida State Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 95.21%1.05fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -384.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.23%94.89%94.95%96.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100%99%99%99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Mexico State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 4.79%20.86fair odd
EV +48.60%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.787%

assuming max odds 31.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.16%5.11%5.05%8.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
10.5017.9215.0031.0010%6%7%3%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +48.60%E +1.57%K +1.62%G +0.787%2.2%2026-07-23 21:00
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.63%E +0.947%K +0.985%G +0.243%2.9%2026-07-14 20:04
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +24.63%E +0.947%K +0.985%G +0.243%2.9%2026-07-21 08:39
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +19.84%E +0.793%K +0.827%G +0.164%3.0%2026-06-09 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.92%E -0.470%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 13:25
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -8.92%E -0.470%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 15:38
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -11.32%E -0.612%K -0.647%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 09:35
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -4.79%E -4.79%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -28.10%E -1.87%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 10:10
MyBookie.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -30.49%E -2.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 17:54
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.69%E -2.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 10:40
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -32.89%E -2.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 10:10
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -32.89%E -2.35%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 10:10
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.27%E -4.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 22:38
betano_uk1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -47.27%E -4.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -3.84%E -3.80%K -384.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -49.67%E -4.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.