Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida State Seminoles v Central Arkansas Bears

2026-09-26 19:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

95%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida State Seminoles (Local)

Prediction 95.19%1.05fair odd

EV -3.86%

Edge -3.82%

Kelly -385.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.31%95.19%95.19%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.75%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Arkansas Bears (Visit)

Prediction 4.81%20.80fair odd

EV +145.19%

Edge +2.85%

Kelly +2.90%

Growth +4.22%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

1.92%4.81%4.81%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0022.3113.1351.008.33%4.48%7.62%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Florida State Seminoles (Local): 95.19%; Central Arkansas Bears (Visit): 4.81%. For Central Arkansas Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.80. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 51.00, producing a positive expected value of +145.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%	51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +145.19%E +2.85%K +2.90%G +4.22%	2.0%	2026-09-22 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.86%E -3.82%K -385.58%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -31.49%E -2.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-22 16:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -42.31%E -3.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-22 18:51
betano_uk🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -4.81%E -4.81%K +0.000%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -42.31%E -3.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-22 18:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-22 15:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-22 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-22 15:29