Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida International Panthers v New Mexico State Aggies

2026-10-07 23:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida International Panthers (Local)

Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.10%62.08%62.08%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5666.67%65.15%64.94%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%37.92%37.92%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.472.462.5541.32%40.49%40.73%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Florida International Panthers (Local): 62.08%; New Mexico State Aggies (Visit): 37.92%. For Florida International Panthers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.56, with an expected value of -3.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.16%E -2.02%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -6.71%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 19:45
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.16%E -2.02%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.09%E -2.89%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-02 20:10
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -8.23%E -3.40%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 59.54%2.06I 48.54%NM 40.46%20.0%2026-10-03 00:19