Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Florida Atlantic Owls

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 23:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 93.29%1.07fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -40.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.13%93.00%93.50%94.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0599.01%97.67%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)

Prediction 6.71%14.90fair odd
EV +27.55%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.422%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.05%7.00%6.50%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5014.5815.0019.0010.53%6.86%6.67%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 93.29%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 6.71%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.90. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +27.55%E +1.45%K +1.53%G +0.422%3.3%2026-08-28 02:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.55%E +1.45%K +1.53%G +0.422%4.3%2026-08-31 20:40
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.55%E +1.45%K +1.53%G +0.422%4.3%2026-08-31 20:38
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.55%E +1.45%K +1.53%G +0.422%4.3%2026-08-31 20:40
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +27.55%E +1.45%K +1.53%G +0.422%4.3%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +20.84%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.256%4.6%2026-08-31 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +20.84%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.256%4.6%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +20.84%E +1.16%K +1.23%G +0.256%4.6%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.13%E +0.831%K +0.883%G +0.125%4.9%2026-09-02 08:44
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.78%E -5.72%K -578.05%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +14.13%E +0.831%K +0.883%G +0.125%4.9%2026-09-02 08:44
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.26%EV -3.91%E -3.80%K -130.49%G +0.000%16.92I 5.91%NM 5.74%EV +13.59%E +0.803%K +0.854%G +0.116%3.0%2026-09-05 23:15
BetUS🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +7.41%E +0.463%K +0.494%G +0.037%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +4.06%E +0.262%K +0.280%G +0.011%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +4.06%E +0.262%K +0.280%G +0.011%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +4.06%E +0.262%K +0.280%G +0.011%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.77%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%15.35I 6.51%NM 6.23%EV +3.05%E +0.199%K +0.213%G +0.006%4.6%2026-09-05 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.91%E -3.80%K -130.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.701%E +0.047%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:09
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.91%E -3.80%K -130.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.701%E +0.047%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.701%E +0.047%K +0.050%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -2.66%E -0.183%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:34
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.01%E -0.429%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.01%E -0.429%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.98%E -2.87%K -74.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -12.73%E -0.979%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.91%E -3.80%K -130.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -12.73%E -0.979%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.73%E -0.979%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -12.73%E -0.979%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -16.08%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 03:10
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -16.08%E -1.29%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.05%E -1.95%K -40.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -26.15%E -2.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.05%E -1.95%K -40.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -26.15%E -2.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.85%E -4.75%K -242.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.15%E -2.38%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -2.98%E -2.87%K -74.55%G +0.000%10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -28.17%E -2.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:08
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.05%E -1.95%K -40.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -32.87%E -3.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.98%E -2.87%K -74.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -32.87%E -3.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.98%E -2.87%K -74.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -36.22%E -3.81%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:39
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.98%E -2.87%K -74.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -36.22%E -3.81%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 95.13%20.50I 4.88%NM 4.87%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-09-05 22:56
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-09-03 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-05 23:35
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 94.68%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.32%1.6%2026-09-05 23:35