Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls v Navy Midshipmen

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:41 UTC

Final: Florida Atlantic Owls 38–30 Navy Midshipmen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV +0.533%
Edge +0.191%
Kelly +0.298%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.66%36.19%36.04%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.632.7940.82%38.18%38.02%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Navy Midshipmen (Visit)

Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.549%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.81%63.96%65.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.491.501.5568.49%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 36.03%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 63.97%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.533%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV +0.533%E +0.191%K +0.298%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.909%E -0.330%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 23:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.27%E -0.463%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 23:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 23:29
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 23:25
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 23:29
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 23:28
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 23:28
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 23:28
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-12 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:34
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 23:34
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.87%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 23:34
Caesars🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.23%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 23:28
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 23:25
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 23:29
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:29
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:35
Betsson🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.67%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.05%EV -6.67%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -6.61%E -4.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -7.39%E -2.88%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 23:30
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 23:35
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:40
Coolbet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.48%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.852%E -0.549%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.13%E -1.39%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:30
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.13%E -1.39%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:29
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 23:34
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-12 23:35
ProphetX◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%2.6%2026-09-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.84%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.16%9.0%2026-09-12 23:40
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.68%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.32%9.5%2026-09-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%10.3%2026-09-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 35.70%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.30%10.3%2026-09-12 23:40