Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Rice Owls

2026-10-10 20:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 76.15%1.31fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -12.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.10%76.36%76.19%77.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.251.2781.97%80.36%80.32%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV +2.54%
Edge +0.590%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.64%23.81%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.953.954.3026.67%25.33%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 76.15%; Rice Owls (Visit): 23.85%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.30, producing a positive expected value of +2.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.57%E -4.49%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.54%E +0.590%K +0.768%G +0.019%3.9%2026-10-04 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.57%E -4.49%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +1.34%E +0.316%K +0.413%G +0.006%4.2%2026-10-04 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.28%E -2.59%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-04 18:13
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.81%E -3.85%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.81%E -3.85%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.81%E -3.85%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.81%E -3.85%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.57%E -4.49%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.62%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 18:55
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.05%E -3.21%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.57%E -4.49%K -23.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.81%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -6.33%E -5.15%K -27.52%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -6.53%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.28%E -2.59%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:55
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.33%E -5.15%K -27.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 18:54
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.05%E -3.21%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.05%E -3.21%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.09%E -5.81%K -32.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.09%E -5.81%K -32.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 18:29
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.09%E -5.81%K -32.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.58%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-10-04 18:55
Novig◎1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%4.5%2026-10-04 18:30