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East Carolina Pirates v Appalachian State Mountaineers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
East Carolina Pirates (Local)
Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.03%67.13%67.35%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4973.53%70.79%70.92%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit)
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.821%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%32.87%32.65%36.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.542.922.953.1539.37%34.20%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 67.43%; Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit): 32.57%. For Appalachian State Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +2.59%E +0.821%K +1.20%G +0.031% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 15:37 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV +0.305%E +0.099%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.672%E -0.220%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.29%E -6.10%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.30%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.63%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.95%E -0.990%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 14:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -4.25%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -4.58%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.49%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.91%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.94%E -5.03%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.27%E -4.51%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -5.88%E -2.04%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -6.21%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.53%E -2.28%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.90%E -2.01%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 15:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.07%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV +0.476%E +0.319%K +0.971%G +0.005% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -17.28%E -6.80%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |