Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 72.75%1.37fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.95%72.67%72.77%76.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.311.311.3681.30%76.53%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tulane Green Wave (Visit)

Prediction 27.25%3.67fair odd
EV +9.81%
Edge +2.43%
Kelly +3.24%
Growth +0.318%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%27.33%27.23%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.023.493.494.0333.11%28.62%28.65%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 72.75%; Tulane Green Wave (Visit): 27.25%. For Tulane Green Wave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -10.51%E -8.55%K -45.72%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV +9.81%E +2.43%K +3.24%G +0.318%6.1%2026-07-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.88%E -5.37%K -24.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.54%E +0.932%K +1.26%G +0.045%4.4%2026-08-24 13:39
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.88%E -5.37%K -24.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.54%E +0.932%K +1.26%G +0.045%4.4%2026-08-24 13:37
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -8.33%E -6.61%K -32.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV +1.63%E +0.438%K +0.599%G +0.010%6.2%2026-06-07 13:53
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.817%E +0.221%K +0.303%G +0.002%4.5%2026-09-04 11:03
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.000%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.91%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 14:19
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.91%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:44
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.91%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 10:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.91%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.91%E -0.530%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:45
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.27%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 17:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -3.82%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 20:44
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 13:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 12:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:00
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 19:39
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.63%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -4.91%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.24%E -2.44%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -4.91%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:14
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:10
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:35
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 04:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 16:14
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:39
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:24
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.88%E -5.37%K -24.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.36%E -2.16%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:39
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.97%E -3.01%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.72%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:39
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.42%E -4.17%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.54%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 09:14
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.08%E -3.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.15%E -4.77%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.08%E -3.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 01:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -1.06%E -0.777%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -17.71%E -5.86%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 08:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-04 01:00
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-31 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-04 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-04 08:05
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-09-04 08:05
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-09-04 08:20