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Duke Blue Devils v Stanford Cardinal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Prediction 76.02%1.32fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +2.49%
Kelly +9.39%
Growth +0.318%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.09%75.52%76.13%78.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.251.3682.64%79.67%80.00%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stanford Cardinal (Visit)
Prediction 23.98%4.17fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%24.48%23.87%30.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.043.923.954.4032.89%25.54%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 76.02%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 23.98%. For Stanford Cardinal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV +3.38%E +2.49%K +9.39%G +0.318% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV -27.09%E -8.91%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -1.18%E -0.908%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -14.86%E -4.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.94%E -1.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.94%E -1.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.94%E -1.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.05%E -4.59%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.94%E -1.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.45%E -5.43%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.70%E -2.11%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.13%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.86%E -0.707%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 19:17 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.62%E -0.646%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -2.62%E -0.646%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 12:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.465%E -0.112%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.29%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.66%E -0.406%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 18:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.53%E +1.26%K +1.63%G +0.090% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -8.02%E -6.63%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV +0.015%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-09-19 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.57% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.43% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 20:10 |