The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Delaware Blue Hens v Merrimack Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:07 UTC

Final: Delaware Blue Hens 42–7 Merrimack Warriors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Delaware Blue Hens (Local)

Prediction 94.98%1.05fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -156.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.93%94.94%94.91%97.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.01%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Merrimack Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 5.02%19.91fair odd
EV +70.74%
Edge +2.08%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +1.52%

assuming max odds 34.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.86%5.06%5.09%8.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5020.5018.5034.008.70%4.88%5.41%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Delaware Blue Hens (Local): 94.98%; Merrimack Warriors (Visit): 5.02%. For Merrimack Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.91. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +70.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.02%E -5.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +70.74%E +2.08%K +2.14%G +1.52%2.9%2026-09-03 21:20
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -5.02%E -5.02%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +55.68%E +1.80%K +1.86%G +1.03%3.2%2026-09-03 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +45.63%E +1.57%K +1.63%G +0.744%2.5%2026-09-03 23:05
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +45.63%E +1.57%K +1.63%G +0.744%2.5%2026-09-03 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +45.63%E +1.57%K +1.63%G +0.744%2.5%2026-09-03 20:59
GTbets🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +15.50%E +0.674%K +0.705%G +0.109%3.4%2026-09-03 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.12%E -3.06%K -156.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -4.59%E -0.241%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -4.59%E -0.241%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -7.10%E -0.384%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 16:34
William Hill🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -14.63%E -0.861%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 16:35
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -14.63%E -0.861%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 20:59
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.12%E -3.06%K -156.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -19.65%E -1.23%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:05
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -24.67%E -1.64%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -27.18%E -1.87%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 16:38
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -34.72%E -2.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -34.72%E -2.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.07%E -4.03%K -407.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -42.25%E -3.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.02I 98.04%NM 98.48%66.00I 1.52%NM 1.52%-0.4%2026-09-03 21:05
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%2.7%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%2.7%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%2.7%2026-09-03 22:50
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-09-03 23:05