The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cincinnati Bearcats v Western Carolina Catamounts

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 23:00 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Bearcats 62–10 Western Carolina Catamounts

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 96.95%1.03fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -208.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.31%96.36%97.19%98.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.40%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit)

Prediction 3.05%32.79fair odd
EV +55.55%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.617%

assuming max odds 51.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.92%3.64%2.81%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0032.2335.0051.008.33%3.10%2.86%1.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 96.95%; Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit): 3.05%. For Western Carolina Catamounts (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 32.79. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 51.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +55.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +55.55%E +1.09%K +1.11%G +0.617%1.0%2026-09-12 20:20
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.06%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.94%EV +55.55%E +1.09%K +1.11%G +0.617%1.0%2026-09-12 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -3.05%E -3.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +55.55%E +1.09%K +1.11%G +0.617%2.0%2026-09-12 20:39
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%EV +9.80%E +0.272%K +0.280%G +0.027%1.8%2026-09-12 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.30%EV -3.05%E -3.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.70%EV +9.80%E +0.272%K +0.280%G +0.027%2.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +3.70%E +0.109%K +0.112%G +0.004%2.0%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -23.75%E -0.950%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -2.08%E -2.06%K -208.04%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -56.54%E -3.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 07:34
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.05%E -3.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -63.40%E -5.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 21:24
betano_uk🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.31%EV -3.05%E -3.05%K +0.000%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -63.40%E -5.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 21:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.27%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.73%1.8%2026-09-12 21:25