Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats v Kansas State Wildcats

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

30%

70%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 30.31%3.30fair odd

EV -1.49%

Edge -0.460%

Kelly -0.664%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.04%30.32%30.31%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.133.153.2533.33%31.93%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas State Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 69.69%1.43fair odd

EV -3.83%

Edge -2.77%

Kelly -10.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.28%69.68%69.69%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.07%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 30.31%; Kansas State Wildcats (Visit): 69.69%. For Cincinnati Bearcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.25, with an expected value of -1.49%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.49%E -0.460%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.31%E -5.50%K -22.16%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-20 08:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.16I 31.65%NM 29.78%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.22%EV -6.61%E -4.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-20 07:09
FanDuel🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.53%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.83%E -2.77%K -10.07%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-20 11:14
Coolbet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.53%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-20 07:15
Bet Right🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.53%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.50%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-20 07:14
Betr (AU)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.53%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.92%E -4.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-20 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.53%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.92%E -4.38%K -16.91%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-20 07:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.23%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-20 07:09
ReBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.61%E -4.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-20 07:09
SportsBet🎯	3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -6.61%E -4.94%K -19.45%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-20 11:14
LeoVegas🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.31%E -5.50%K -22.16%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-20 07:08

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	3.08I 32.47%NM 30.16%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%	7.7%	2026-09-20 12:59