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Cincinnati Bearcats v Kansas State Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Bearcats (Local)
Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.94%32.88%32.87%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.902.9537.04%34.68%34.48%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas State Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 67.13%1.49fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -5.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%67.12%67.13%68.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.421.4572.46%70.66%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Bearcats (Local): 32.87%; Kansas State Wildcats (Visit): 67.13%. For Kansas State Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.00%E -2.80%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-26 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.00%E -2.80%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-21 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -3.37%E -1.15%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -7.36%E -5.33%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.70%E -1.26%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.66%E -1.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-26 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-26 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.80%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.00%E -2.80%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-23 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.69%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.02%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.02%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.02%E -1.74%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 23:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.34%E -1.86%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-26 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.29%EV -6.68%E -4.81%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 22:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.33%E -2.31%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-26 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.00%E -2.80%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 22:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.33%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.34%E -3.79%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -6.66%E -2.34%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.67%E -3.29%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.26%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.01%E -4.29%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-09-26 22:55 |