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Charlotte 49ers v East Carolina Pirates

2026-11-14 18:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 21.07%4.75fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.13%21.19%22.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.384.404.6025.00%22.81%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 78.93%1.27fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -16.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.67%78.87%78.81%79.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2286.96%83.36%82.99%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 21.07%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 78.93%. For Charlotte 49ers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -3.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 15:49
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 16:53
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.08%E -5.11%K -31.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 17:38
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.71%E -3.04%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 18:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 17:39
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.50%E -3.72%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 17:39
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -45.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 17:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.71%E -3.04%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 17:05
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.71%E -3.04%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.29%E -4.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 17:09
betfred_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.87%E -5.82%K -38.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 19:10
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.29%E -4.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 16:50
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -45.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 17:54
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.44%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.71%E -3.04%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.44%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.71%E -3.04%K -16.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 18:10
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.44%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.29%E -4.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-08 17:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.29%E -4.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.29%E -4.41%K -26.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 18:10
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -45.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 17:04
picklebet_au🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -9.23%E -8.03%K -61.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-11-08 18:05
Novig◎4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%2.8%2026-11-08 19:15
ProphetX◎4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%4.4%2026-11-08 18:05
Polymarket◎4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%9.0%2026-11-08 19:50

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