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Charlotte 49ers v Citadel Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte 49ers (Local)
Prediction 90.51%1.10fair odd
EV +6.81%
Edge +5.77%
Kelly +37.81%
Growth +2.57%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%90.22%90.91%92.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.051.1897.09%94.68%95.24%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 9.49%10.54fair odd
EV +13.84%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.174%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.98%9.78%9.09%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.609.6610.5012.0021.74%10.35%9.52%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 90.51%; Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 9.49%. For Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.54. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV +6.81%E +5.77%K +37.81%G +2.57% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -56.36%E -12.25%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 05:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.25%E -2.08%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.36%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.25%E -2.08%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -19.36%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.15%E -2.94%K -45.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -19.36%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.66%EV -3.15%E -2.94%K -45.01%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -27.90%E -3.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +9.10%E +0.791%K +0.866%G +0.079% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 18:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -8.93%E -0.930%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -33.59%E -4.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.06%E -3.83%K -67.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -33.59%E -4.80%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 01:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.96%E -4.72%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +2.46%E +0.227%K +0.251%G +0.006% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.96%E -4.72%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.96%E -4.72%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -9.88%E -1.04%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.96%E -4.72%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -12.25%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.96%E -4.72%K -99.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -19.36%E -2.28%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +13.84%E +1.15%K +1.26%G +0.174% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.35%E +0.396%K +0.435%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.35%E +0.396%K +0.435%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.35%E +0.396%K +0.435%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +4.35%E +0.396%K +0.435%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.87%E -5.64%K -146.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.26%EV -6.77%E -6.57%K -225.71%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.74%EV +1.98%E +0.184%K +0.203%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.77%E -6.57%K -225.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.77%E -6.57%K -225.71%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -0.391%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-09-01 21:15 |