Charlotte 49ers v Citadel Bulldogs

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 84.00%1.19fair odd

EV -5.08%

Edge -4.50%

Kelly -39.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.70%84.00%84.00%84.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.121.131.131.1389.29%88.69%88.50%88.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 16.00%6.25fair odd

EV +0.797%

Edge +0.127%

Kelly +0.150%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.21%16.00%16.00%18.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.005.635.606.3020.00%17.78%17.86%15.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.08%E -4.50%K -39.07%G +0.000%	6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +0.797%E +0.127%K +0.150%G +0.001%	4.4%	2026-07-27 05:20
Unibet (UK)	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.08%E -4.50%K -39.07%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 05:25
MyBookie.ag	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.08%E -4.50%K -39.07%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 05:29
LeoVegas	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.92%E -5.29%K -49.33%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -20.00%E -4.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-27 05:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.