Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v Citadel Bulldogs

2026-09-05 19:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

80%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 80.27%1.25fair odd

EV -3.67%

Edge -3.06%

Kelly -18.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.75%80.27%80.46%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.181.181.2086.21%84.64%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 19.73%5.07fair odd

EV -1.36%

Edge -0.271%

Kelly -0.339%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.09%19.73%19.54%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.304.714.755.0023.26%21.21%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 80.27%; Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 19.73%. For Citadel Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.37%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-30 19:54
Fanatics🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.57%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.33%E -0.679%K -0.853%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-28 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.57%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-30 05:34
FanDuel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.28%E -4.47%K -29.33%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-27 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.28%E -4.47%K -29.33%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.25%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-30 05:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.31%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-29 05:44
LeoVegas🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -6.89%E -5.94%K -43.03%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -15.17%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-08-06 09:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.