Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Michigan Chippewas v Western Michigan Broncos

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Michigan Chippewas (Local)

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.932%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.26%26.72%26.53%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.453.6530.77%28.81%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 73.28%1.36fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -15.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.90%73.28%73.47%73.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.291.3080.00%77.86%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Michigan Chippewas (Local): 26.72%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 73.28%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -2.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.47%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.74%E -3.64%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 06:50
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.74%E -3.64%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 07:10
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 06:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.74%E -3.64%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 07:14
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.20%E -4.85%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 06:50
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.47%E -4.24%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 07:10
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.94%E -5.46%K -25.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%4.9%2026-10-11 07:35
Polymarket◎3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.61%6.1%2026-10-11 07:15