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Central Michigan Chippewas v Sacramento State Hornets

2026-11-12 00:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Michigan Chippewas (Local)

Prediction 84.00%1.19fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -4.50%
Kelly -39.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.70%84.00%84.00%84.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1390.91%89.49%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 16.00%6.25fair odd
EV +0.797%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.150%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.21%16.00%16.00%19.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.605.756.3021.74%17.86%17.39%15.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Central Michigan Chippewas (Local): 84.00%; Sacramento State Hornets (Visit): 16.00%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.30, producing a positive expected value of +0.797%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -5.08%E -4.50%K -39.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV +0.797%E +0.127%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.4%2026-11-05 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.76%E -6.09%K -61.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -5.60%E -0.950%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-05 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -5.08%E -4.50%K -39.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-05 19:10
picklebet_au🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.70%EV -7.60%E -6.91%K -76.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -26.40%E -5.74%K -7.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-05 19:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%3.7%2026-11-06 00:45
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 82.08%5.13I 19.49%NM 17.92%8.8%2026-11-06 00:54
Polymarket◎1.10I 90.91%NM 81.23%4.76I 21.01%NM 18.77%11.9%2026-11-06 00:35
ProphetX◎1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%100.0%2026-11-05 20:05