Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears v Wagner Seahawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 19:30 UTC

Final: California Golden Bears 49–7 Wagner Seahawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

99%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 98.55%1.01fair odd

EV -0.466%

Edge -0.462%

Kelly -46.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

93.38%98.55%98.55%99.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.001.001.001.01100.00%99.67%100.00%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wagner Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 1.45%68.88fair odd

EV +46.63%

Edge +0.462%

Kelly +0.466%

Growth +0.217%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

0.98%1.45%1.45%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

14.2555.4251.00101.007.02%1.80%1.96%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 98.55%; Wagner Seahawks (Visit): 1.45%. For Wagner Seahawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 68.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betsson🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -1.45%E -1.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%	101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +46.63%E +0.462%K +0.466%G +0.217%	1.0%	2026-09-19 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -1.45%E -1.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%	51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV -25.96%E -0.509%K -0.519%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -0.466%E -0.462%K -46.63%G +0.000%	14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -79.31%E -5.57%K -5.99%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-19 14:01

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 99.01%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%	1.0%	2026-09-18 05:00