Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 1.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 22.46%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 77.54%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.30%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +3.30%E +0.718%K +0.917%G +0.030% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +3.30%E +0.718%K +0.917%G +0.030% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +3.30%E +0.718%K +0.917%G +0.030% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +3.30%E +0.718%K +0.917%G +0.030% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +3.30%E +0.718%K +0.917%G +0.030% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.40%E -4.42%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.40%E -4.42%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.17%E -5.10%K -29.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.06%E +0.235%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -1.19%E -0.271%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.19%E -0.271%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.40%E -4.42%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.31%E -0.532%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.31%E -0.532%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 19:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.31%E -0.532%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.40%E -4.42%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 19:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.585%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.54%E -0.585%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -2.76%E -0.638%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.27%E -7.93%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -5.68%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -9.27%E -7.93%K -54.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -6.80%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.62%E -3.76%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.80%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.40%E -4.42%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.93%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -9.05%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -9.27%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -1.52%E -1.20%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-10 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.17%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.07%E -2.46%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.17%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.85%E -3.10%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -12.42%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -0.745%E -0.582%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -12.42%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -0.745%E -0.582%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.42%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 19:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.42%E -3.18%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.95%E -5.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 19:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -1.52%E -1.20%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -14.66%E -3.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -2.30%E -1.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-10 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -16.91%E -4.57%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.745%E -0.582%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -16.91%E -4.57%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -0.745%E -0.582%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.17% | 0.2% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:25 |