Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 02:37 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 43.97%2.27fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.46%44.04%43.83%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3348.78%45.83%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.96%56.17%58.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7560.61%59.11%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 43.97%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 56.03%. For California Golden Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.85%G +0.046%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.85%G +0.046%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 02:29
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.06%E -0.470%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-06 02:29
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.470%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 02:15
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.470%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 02:20
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.06%E -0.470%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 02:19
Caesars🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:45
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:45
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -1.94%E -0.868%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:45
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 02:30
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:30
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 02:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:29
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.26%E -1.48%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:45
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 02:29
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.14%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:20
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.58%E -2.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.01%E -2.32%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 02:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:05
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.45%E -2.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 02:29
Betsson🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -5.89%E -2.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 00:25
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.33%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 02:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.77%E -3.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 02:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.65%E -3.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.53%E -4.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.97%E -4.33%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 02:29
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 02:24
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.96%E -1.12%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 02:23
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.85%E -4.81%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.52%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%0.1%2026-09-06 02:29
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-06 02:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-05 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-09-06 02:25
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%1.8%2026-09-06 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-09-06 02:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-09-06 02:29