The School of Odds

BYU Cougars v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

2026-10-17 16:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 21.92%4.56fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%21.92%21.92%23.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.904.204.204.5025.64%23.81%23.81%22.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 78.08%1.28fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -3.89%
Kelly -21.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.47%78.08%78.08%78.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.201.211.221.2283.33%82.42%81.97%81.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.36%E -0.303%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 15:20
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.89%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 15:25
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.