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BYU Cougars v Iowa State Cyclones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BYU Cougars (Local)
Prediction 77.85%1.28fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.03%77.67%77.87%82.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.05%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)
Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV +18.50%
Edge +3.46%
Kelly +4.25%
Growth +0.787%
assuming max odds 5.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%22.33%22.13%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.624.294.305.3527.62%23.30%23.26%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 77.85%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 22.15%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -9.69%E -8.36%K -60.58%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +18.50%E +3.46%K +4.25%G +0.787% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.89%E +0.410%K +0.524%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.327%E -0.073%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:03 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.36%E -6.18%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.36%E -6.18%K -38.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.07%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.93%EV -2.98%E -0.681%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -3.21%E -0.734%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.09%E -0.945%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 19:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.86%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.08%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.92%EV -7.64%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -7.64%E -1.83%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.08%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -8.08%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.47%E -2.79%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -10.29%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.69%E -2.15%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -4.12%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.58%E -5.48%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03%EV -1.13%E -0.890%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%EV -19.82%E -5.47%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |