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BYU Cougars v Arizona State Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 19:35 UTC

Final: BYU Cougars 27–20 Arizona State Sun Devils

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 85.92%1.16fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -22.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.82%85.98%85.78%88.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.111.121.1395.24%90.04%89.69%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 14.08%7.10fair odd
EV +8.41%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.106%

assuming max odds 7.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.00%14.02%14.22%16.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.556.507.7017.39%15.27%15.38%12.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 85.92%; Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit): 14.08%. For Arizona State Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -9.78%E -9.32%K -195.66%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV +8.41%E +1.09%K +1.25%G +0.106%8.2%2026-10-31 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +7.00%E +0.921%K +1.06%G +0.074%4.1%2026-10-31 19:35
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.72%EV -7.21%E -6.67%K -90.07%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.28%EV -0.744%E -0.105%K -0.123%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 19:15
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 19:30
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.21%E -6.67%K -90.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.92%E -8.42%K -148.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -1.45%E -0.207%K -0.241%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.08%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.92%EV -1.59%E -0.227%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-31 19:30
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -2.15%E -0.310%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.66%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -4.97%E -0.736%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 19:34
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.97%E -0.736%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:34
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.97%E -0.736%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:15
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.97%E -0.736%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:11
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.67%E -0.846%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.57%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.43%EV -6.52%E -0.981%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.57%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.43%EV -6.52%E -0.981%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 19:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 19:30
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 23:25
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 19:30
picklebet_au🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:30
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.35%E -5.82%K -70.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.49%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:35
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:30
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.09%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.91%EV -9.19%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.89%E -1.55%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.31%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.69%EV -10.04%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -12.01%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.01%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.01%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -12.71%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 19:34
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -12.71%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -14.12%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.91%E -2.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 19:15
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.77%E -3.36%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 18:34
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 19:30
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.49%E -4.99%K -54.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.53%E -2.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.63%E -4.17%K -42.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -19.05%E -3.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-10-31 19:35
BetOpenly◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.40%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.60%0.4%2026-10-31 19:30
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90%0.7%2026-10-31 19:30
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-10-31 19:15
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-10-31 19:15
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-10-31 19:25

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