Language:English
Buffalo Bulls v Western Michigan Broncos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Bulls (Local)
Prediction 18.85%5.30fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.819%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.74%18.96%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.035.005.5022.73%19.87%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Michigan Broncos (Visit)
Prediction 81.15%1.23fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -13.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%81.26%81.04%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.42%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 18.85%; Western Michigan Broncos (Visit): 81.15%. For Buffalo Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.30. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +3.69%E +0.670%K +0.819%G +0.030% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -6.68%E -5.81%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.80%E +0.334%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.15%EV +0.293%E +0.055%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.85%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.03%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.03%E -0.195%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -2.91%E -0.565%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.85%E -0.756%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -3.85%E -0.756%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.80%E -0.950%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.43%E -2.89%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.43%E -2.89%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:56 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.68%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.68%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -8.19%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -5.87%E -5.06%K -36.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.57%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.51%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.49%E -6.57%K -53.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 20:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 18:47 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.43%E -2.89%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.43%E -2.89%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.45%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.25%E -3.60%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -12.34%E -2.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -13.28%E -2.89%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.06%E -4.32%K -29.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -17.05%E -3.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.62%E -2.19%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.67% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.33% | 0.0% | 2026-10-03 16:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |