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Buffalo Bulls v Central Michigan Chippewas

2026-11-19 00:30 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.25%55.70%55.70%56.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.70%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.55%44.30%44.30%44.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.132.2050.00%47.13%46.84%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bulls (Local): 55.70%; Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit): 44.30%. For Central Michigan Chippewas (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -2.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.64%E -2.10%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.54%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-12 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.20%E -2.44%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-12 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.31%E -3.12%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.54%E -4.54%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.64%E -2.65%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-12 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-12 21:05
picklebet_au🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.77%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.40%E -5.70%K -11.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-12 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-11-12 21:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%6.4%2026-11-12 22:39
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%9.1%2026-11-13 01:45

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