The School of Odds

Buffalo Bulls v Albany

2026-09-03 23:00 UTC — NCAAF

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bulls (Local)

Prediction 94.03%1.06fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -104.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.82%94.03%94.91%95.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%98.04%98.04%97.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Albany (Visit)

Prediction 5.97%16.76fair odd
EV +25.33%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.321%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%5.97%5.09%10.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
9.0014.4511.7521.0011.11%6.92%8.51%4.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.03%E -4.98%K -502.77%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +25.33%E +1.21%K +1.27%G +0.321%3.8%2026-07-27 02:40
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.09%E -4.01%K -204.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +13.39%E +0.705%K +0.744%G +0.100%3.3%2026-07-27 02:39
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 92.01%EV -4.09%E -4.01%K -204.37%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.99%EV -29.88%E -2.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 02:44
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.15%E -3.06%K -104.90%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -31.37%E -2.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:40
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -4.09%E -4.01%K -204.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -46.29%E -5.14%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.