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Bowling Green Falcons v Ball State Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bowling Green Falcons (Local)
Prediction 67.60%1.48fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -6.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.95%67.32%67.54%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.411.4473.53%71.21%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ball State Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 32.40%3.09fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.574%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.68%32.46%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.922.953.0537.74%34.23%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bowling Green Falcons (Local): 67.60%; Ball State Cardinals (Visit): 32.40%. For Ball State Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -2.66%E -1.85%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -12.84%E -4.77%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -3.44%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -3.33%E -2.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -14.14%E -5.33%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.82%E -0.602%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 20:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-17 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-16 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-17 02:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.66%E -2.69%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.01%E -2.82%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 15:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 02:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.06%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.69%E -3.32%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.18%E -0.386%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 04:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 02:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.42%E -1.50%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-17 02:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.83%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.28%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -6.36%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.04%E -4.34%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.98%E -2.81%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -1.50%E -0.494%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 04:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.71%E -4.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.07%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.80%E -0.932%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 20:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.07%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 04:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.07%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.08%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 06:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.07%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.66%E -2.69%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.07%E -5.93%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.90%E -3.96%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-16 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |