Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boise State Broncos v South Dakota Coyotes

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 02:10 UTC

Final: Boise State Broncos 38–24 South Dakota Coyotes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

93%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boise State Broncos (Local)

Prediction 93.33%1.07fair odd

EV -1.07%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -17.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

90.58%93.39%93.15%94.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.021.0699.01%98.00%98.04%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Dakota Coyotes (Visit)

Prediction 6.67%14.99fair odd

EV +23.43%

Edge +1.27%

Kelly +1.34%

Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 18.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.27%6.61%6.85%9.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0014.2815.0018.5010.00%7.00%6.67%5.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boise State Broncos (Local): 93.33%; South Dakota Coyotes (Visit): 6.67%. For South Dakota Coyotes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.99. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%EV -3.87%E -3.76%K -129.06%G +0.000%	18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%EV +23.43%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.314%	2.5%	2026-09-20 01:54
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +13.42%E +0.789%K +0.839%G +0.113%	3.9%	2026-09-20 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +13.42%E +0.789%K +0.839%G +0.113%	4.9%	2026-09-20 01:34
Neds🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +13.42%E +0.789%K +0.839%G +0.113%	4.9%	2026-09-20 01:29
DraftKings🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.21%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	16.60I 6.02%NM 5.79%EV +10.75%E +0.648%K +0.689%G +0.074%	4.1%	2026-09-20 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.75%E +0.422%K +0.450%G +0.030%	5.3%	2026-09-16 14:10
betPARX🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.75%E +0.422%K +0.450%G +0.030%	5.3%	2026-09-16 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.75%E +0.422%K +0.450%G +0.030%	5.3%	2026-09-16 14:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.75%E +0.422%K +0.450%G +0.030%	5.3%	2026-09-16 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-20 02:04
Coral🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-20 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-20 01:29
BetRivers🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-16 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +0.076%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-16 14:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.60%E -0.471%K -0.507%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-20 02:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 93.09%EV -3.87%E -3.76%K -129.06%G +0.000%	13.88I 7.20%NM 6.91%EV -7.40%E -0.533%K -0.574%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-20 02:05
Betsson🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -9.93%E -0.736%K -0.795%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-20 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.87%E -3.76%K -129.06%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.27%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-19 14:26
Bovada🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.27%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-19 20:56
Betway🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -13.27%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-20 02:04
LeoVegas🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.87%E -3.76%K -129.06%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -19.94%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-19 22:59
SportsBet🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.81%E -4.71%K -240.26%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -19.94%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-19 18:59
Bet Victor🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.94%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-20 01:48
betano_uk🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.74%E -5.68%K -573.85%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -19.94%E -1.66%K -1.81%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-20 01:49
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -1.07%E -1.01%K -17.87%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -26.61%E -2.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-19 16:08
PlayUp🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.94%E -2.83%K -73.47%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -26.61%E -2.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-19 14:25
TAB🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -2.94%E -2.83%K -73.47%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -33.28%E -3.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-16 15:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%	3.2%	2026-09-20 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-20 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-20 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-09-20 02:04