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Boise State Broncos v Memphis Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boise State Broncos (Local)
Prediction 74.08%1.35fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -6.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%73.84%74.14%75.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3278.74%77.54%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Memphis Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%26.16%25.86%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.653.703.8531.25%27.43%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boise State Broncos (Local): 74.08%; Memphis Tigers (Visit): 25.92%. For Memphis Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.214%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%EV -2.21%E -1.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -2.21%E -1.68%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -15.51%E -4.76%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -17.06%E -5.33%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.88%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.88%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 15:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.29%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 21:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.88%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.69%E -2.84%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.47%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.85%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -0.473%E -0.123%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.81%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.81%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.214%E -0.056%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 21:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 14:51 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.51%E -0.397%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 21:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 21:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 21:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.18%E -4.04%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.40%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -5.92%E -4.66%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -6.43%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-12 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 21:55 |