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Baylor Bears v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Baylor Bears (Local)
Prediction 89.15%1.12fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -19.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.42%89.15%89.18%90.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.1095.24%93.19%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 10.85%9.22fair odd
EV +7.39%
Edge +0.747%
Kelly +0.830%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 9.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%10.85%10.82%13.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.428.509.9014.29%11.87%11.76%10.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 89.15%; Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit): 10.85%. For Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +7.39%E +0.747%K +0.830%G +0.061% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +3.05%E +0.321%K +0.359%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +0.340%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 18:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -2.37%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.37%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.37%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.37%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.37%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.91%E -0.326%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -2.91%E -0.326%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.21%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.79%EV -4.00%E -0.452%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -4.54%E -0.516%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -5.63%E -0.647%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -6.39%E -6.09%K -127.80%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -6.71%E -0.780%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -7.25%E -0.848%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.39%E -6.09%K -127.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -7.80%E -0.917%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 19:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -8.12%E -0.959%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -2.82%E -2.59%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV -10.51%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.72%E -3.44%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.61%E -4.31%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.50%E -5.19%K -91.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -13.22%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.82%E -2.59%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.64%E -2.49%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.93%E -1.76%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -24.07%E -3.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.82%E -2.59%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -24.07%E -3.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 19:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.73% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 10.27% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 19:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 19:49 |