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Ball State Cardinals v Toledo Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ball State Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 10.63%9.41fair odd
EV +32.83%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +0.937%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.48%10.43%10.62%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.588.8812.5013.33%10.44%11.26%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toledo Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 89.37%1.12fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -28.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.62%89.57%89.38%92.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.061.061.0999.01%94.43%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ball State Cardinals (Local): 10.63%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 89.37%. For Ball State Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.41. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +32.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -9.73%E -9.64%K -973.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV +32.83%E +2.63%K +2.85%G +0.937% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -9.73%E -9.64%K -973.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +11.58%E +1.10%K +1.22%G +0.141% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -7.95%E -7.71%K -264.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.26%E +0.626%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +6.26%E +0.626%K +0.696%G +0.044% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.16%E -5.86%K -123.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +2.54%E +0.264%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +0.951%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 16:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +0.951%E +0.100%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.31I 10.74%NM 10.39%EV -1.07%E -0.115%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.61%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -3.30%E -0.363%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.36%E -0.485%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.36%E -0.485%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.36%E -0.485%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -6.91%E -0.789%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -6.91%E -0.789%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -7.55%E -0.868%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -7.55%E -0.868%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.19%EV -8.08%E -0.934%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.81%EV -2.58%E -2.37%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -9.14%E -1.07%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -9.68%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.68%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.68%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.68%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.68%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -9.99%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 17:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -12.33%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 11:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -12.33%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.37%E -4.08%K -62.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.58%E -2.37%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.99%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 14:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -20.30%E -2.71%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.26%E -4.97%K -87.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 91.09% | -0.2% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 17:25 |