The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Ball State Cardinals v Sacramento State Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 19:32 UTC

Final: Ball State Cardinals 34–17 Sacramento State Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ball State Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 82.52%1.21fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -14.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.67%82.59%82.52%84.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.87%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento State Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 17.48%5.72fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.51%17.41%17.48%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.425.436.1020.83%18.45%18.42%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ball State Cardinals (Local): 82.52%; Sacramento State Hornets (Visit): 17.48%. For Sacramento State Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -7.58%E -6.77%K -63.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV +6.63%E +1.09%K +1.30%G +0.086%5.7%2026-10-23 23:10
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.75%E -5.98%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.977%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-24 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.75%E -5.98%K -51.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.977%G +0.048%5.2%2026-10-23 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.58%E -6.77%K -63.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.977%G +0.048%6.0%2026-10-24 11:16
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.58%E -6.77%K -63.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.88%E +0.814%K +0.977%G +0.048%6.0%2026-10-24 19:25
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +3.14%E +0.531%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.7%2026-10-21 18:05
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -0.361%E -0.063%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.92%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.08%EV -0.710%E -0.125%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 19:25
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:30
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.11%E -0.377%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:30
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.98%E -0.537%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 19:15
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 15:10
Caesars🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.40%E -7.57%K -76.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -3.86%E -0.701%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -5.08%E -0.936%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 13:36
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -5.08%E -0.936%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.60%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 13:19
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.60%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -5.60%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.75%E -5.98%K -51.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.60%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.35%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 19:25
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.35%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 19:17
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.23%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.15%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 15:10
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 15:10
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.10%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 19:25
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -2.63%E -2.23%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -10.85%E -2.13%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 17:03
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 09:41
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.45%E -2.95%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 19:15
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 19:30
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.28%E -3.69%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 19:15
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.93%E -5.20%K -42.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.60%E -2.52%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 19:15
betano_uk🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.09%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 19:19
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.10%E -4.44%K -34.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -16.09%E -3.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95%0.3%2026-10-24 19:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-10-24 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-10-24 19:15
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 19:30
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 19:14
BetOpenly◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66%1.3%2026-10-24 19:20
ProphetX◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-10-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%5.8%2026-10-24 19:30